Jelly Roll Capital Equity Research

Market Analysis, Education, and Wall Street-Quality Stock Reports

Article Archive

November 4th: Does 1x book value mean a bargain?

October 11th: A DCF valuation shows that Apple (AAPL) is likely overvalued.

October 3rd: A dozen $10+ billion buy ideas.

September 17th: Is RIMM Overpriced?

September 12th: A breakdown in quant land? Or, time to buy refiners.

September 7th: Why Harley-Davidson (HOG) is suddenly one of the best buys in the market.

September 5th: Reflections on the Apple iPhone announcement

August 31st: Everything you need to know about AEO.

August 28th: More commentary and analysis following up on the Wal-Mart (WMT) Stock Brief

August 26th: An update on what I’m researching and looking to put on the buy list, as well as updates on HRB, HLYS, BLDR, and USG among others.

August 20th: My honest opinion on this whole post-rate-cut rally.

August 19th: The newest version of the Short 25, and several hedged trades that go along with stocks on the list.

August 14th: An investor’s perspective on volatility, why you should ignore it, and what you should be buying.

August 12th: A statistical look at the new volatility levels, what direction volatility is headed in, and how you can profit from changes...

August 3rd: Some analysis of three new stocks from this month’s Top 25 list that look particularly appealing...

August 1st: Monthly update for the Top 25 Stocks to Buy.

July 30th: Another “market pullback special” that shouldn’t make you as nervous as the housing and credit stocks.

July 29th: Don’t just dismiss the bearish argument on the economy out of hand, because there are many unanswered questions out there...

July 26th: The market looks ugly again, and here are two contrarian plays that hit at the heart of housing and credit...

July 23rd: More M&A news gives us implications to study, this time from offshore drillers GlobalSantaFe (ticker: GSF) and Transocean (RIG)

July 17th: The new monthly Short 25 list, as well as a review of last month’s performance.

July 11th: An update on Aspreva Pharmaceuticals (ASPV)

July 6th: It’s performance review time for the quantitative model and the Top 25 lists.

July 2nd: The monthly update on July’s Top 25.

June 29th: Book review of A Thousand Barrels a Second

June 19th: The first short picks are...

June 18th: Introducing the Jelly Roll Capital Short 25 List...

June 12th: ValueStockReports returns with some comments on Graham’s The Intelligent Investor and how it applies to the recently observed market action.

June 2nd: A performance review for our top 25 lists.

May 31st: The Top 25 Stocks for June

May 28th: We review our top five small– and mega-cap picks for the month of May.

May 23rd: An informal update of our quantitative model reveals some interesting insight into semiconductor stocks.

May 19th: Do these big tech stocks deserve the benefit of the doubt that the market is giving them?

May 16th: An overview of a few biotech stocks that the market seems to be underestimating.

May 14th: A quick review of the (under)performance of three big “dogs” and whether you should consider buying or selling now.

May 10th: We go back a bit to the March top 25 list to review our performance, and see what has been working and what hasn’t.

May 7th: With Warren Buffett reiterating his desire to make a large purchase, we go looking for companies that might fit (our perception of) his criteria.

May 5th: All the hype surrounding the iPhone makes me feel like the AAPL bulls are out of control, and counting their chickens a bit too soon...

May 3rd: What Valero’s (VLO) refinery sale says about the state of oil refining; do Frontier (FTO) or Tesoro (TSO) seem attractively priced?

May 1st: The Overall Top 25 Stocks for May.

April 29th: Top Five Super Small-Caps for May.

April 28th: Top Five Mega-Caps for May.

April 26th: A recap of earnings season so far, and how it has affected several of our featured stocks.

April 21st: Housing is always in the headlines with negative news, and this makes it the ultimate contrarian play.

April 20th: Discussion on the Internet Search area, and how to play GOOG and YHOO following earnings...

April 16th: Additional information about new stock brief feature KongZhong (KONG), and why - although it is admittedly an unusual kind of stock for a site like this - we feel it presents a compelling opportunity.

April 14th: A quick update on Builders FirstSource (BLDR) given the pending release of housing start data early next week, as well as information about our forecasting model.

April 13th: With the market action of late, investors are ignoring ominous inflation signs and hoping for positive interest rate developments… which likely won’t occur.

April 9th: The rationale behind using EBITDA to compare stocks.

April 5th: An outline of a paired trade with semiconductor equipment stocks Lam Research (LRCX) and Applied Materials (AMAT)...

April 2nd: An updated stock screen for the month of April with the top 25 stocks, as well as a few notables at the bottom.

March 30th: Today the Bush administration announced it would place tariffs on certain paper imports from China. Being a proponent of economic freedom, I feel obliged to offer some thoughts...

March 27th: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett’s partner at Berkshire Hathaway, is one of the lesser-known investing geniuses of all-time. One quote of his I really like...

March 22nd: On occasion I get big ideas to unlock value in a company. Is it possible with all the pessimism surrounding Motorola (MOT)?

March 20th: Why dividend-paying stocks are great for investors, although not all dividends are created equal. The differences between good and bad dividends, and a few high-yielding stocks.

March 17th: Both fundamental and technical indicators are saying the market is in the process of correcting. What stocks will investors like once the market finds a bottom?

March 14th: A further look at companies that have a high ROE, largely because of huge leverage.

March 12th: Revisiting an earlier column about the economy, with a look at sub-prime lending and what those problems might mean going forward.

March 9th: An introduction to Return on Equity (ROE) and DuPont Analysis, which shows that not all ROEs are equal.

March 7th: Update on our current top 25 stocks, based off of the latest scanning model.

March 5th: We complete our look at the problems with using the P/E ratio and offer an alternative.

March 4th:We begin our look at financial ratios by analyzing the problems with only using a simple price-to-earnings (P/E).

March 2nd: An introduction to pairs trading with ETFs.

February 28th: Now might be a good time to reconsider your risk tolerances, and simple ways to reduce risk.

February 27th: The bear hunt of the past several months has just ended in dramatic fashion. What does the sell-off mean, and where do we go from here?

February 25th:February 25th: Free Cash Flow (FCF) is one of the most important metrics used to judge the value of a company. An example of the difference between using Earnings Per Share (EPS) and FCF with Google stock (GOOG)...

 

February 24th: More about our new “Stock Briefs” feature and additional discussion of Apple (AAPL), the subject of our first report.

 

February 23rd: USG: Is the pessimism from asbestos litigation and the downturn in housing creating a second chance to invest with Warren Buffett?

 

February 21st: Cyclical stocks and what the buyout of Florida Rock and Gravel (FRK) by Vulcan (VMC) means.

 

February 19th: One frequent question people handling their own investments have is about the proper use of Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) in their portfolio. An ETF is a versatile financial instrument that is essentially a group of stocks that trade as a single stock. Why add them to your portfolio?

 

February 18th: The broader indices all closed higher during the last week, up between 1 and 1.5%, helped by two big moves to the upside on Tuesday and Wednesday as Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testified before Congress that the economy appeared to be in good condition. With all due respect to the man setting our monetary policy, I believe the economy is in significantly worse condition than the data indicates...